Ineligible, Bolsonaro's fear now is spending time in jail

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Minister Cármen Lúcia stamped this Friday (30) the ineligibility of Jair Bolsonaro for 8 years. As was predictable, the final score was a 5-2 defeat against the former president of the Republic. Being barred from the next elections is Bolsonaro's least problem, who does not hide his fear that in the next rounds he could be sentenced by the STF to spend a long period in jail.


Based on the precedents of Lula and Michel Temer, Army Colonel Jean Lawand Júnior's prediction that the punishment would be carried out in the Papuda prison is unlikely to be confirmed. Most likely it will be in a Military Police or Fire Department barracks. There is no shortage of reasons for conviction in the series of investigations under the report of Minister Alexandre de Moraes. Already convicted by the STF for passive corruption and money laundering, Fernando Collor should go to jail first.

Mauro Cid – Photo Isac Nóbrega/PR
The expectation among investigators is that Bolsonaro's situation will become even more complicated when the new content found on the cell phone of Lieutenant Colonel Mauro Cid, the former President of the Republic's handyman, is Telegram Number Data revealed. Just as in the FBI investigation into former president Donald Trump's participation in the attack on the Capitol, assessed as the investigation capable of blocking his new candidacy for the White House, Bolsonaro's Achilles tendon is what the PF is investigating about the attempt of a coup d'état to undermine Lula's election.

Carlos, Eduardo and Flávio Bolsonaro – Photo PR/Reproduction
But other investigations, such as that of digital militias, could result in punishment for the entire Bolsonaro clan. In fact, this possibility has been a nightmare for Bolsonaro since he took office, with the revelation of the cracks operated by Sergeant Fabrício Queiroz. He dedicated much of his tenure to creating a safety net for his family and close friends. This is how he detonated former minister Sérgio Moro, intervened in the PF, handed over power to Centrão and fought in the Judiciary.


Army High Command – Photo Army Communication Center
After losing re-election, despite a scandalous use of the public sector, and not getting support from the Army High Command to turn the tables, his situation became more complicated. The chaos of his followers in attacks on the headquarters of the Three Powers of the Republic made his condition unsustainable. The TSE's punishment, which has been sung for months, is just the beginning of the ordeal he will face in the Federal Supreme Court.

According to Bolsonaro supporters, Bolsonaro's dilemma, who would like to continue beating STF ministers, is that if he uses this tactic that has been so successful in the past among his devoted followers, it could complicate his already very precarious situation in court. It's the old saying: if it stays, the animal will eat it; If you run, the animal will catch you.

To be checked.